Dollar is at a Key Resistance Level

October 9, 2012
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The dollar is at a key point here that could have implications on the market.  Last week there was the potential for the dollar to decline another 3% if it could break its bear flag.  It did but was able to bounce and climb back up to 80, now this pattern is voided.  But the dollar remains at a cross road here.  There is a move into the dollar as once again the Greece is broke the Euro stinks news is back.

DX Nearing Long-term Downtrend Line: It is currently sitting right next to its long-term downtrend from the start of the summer.  A break of this trend would signal the short-term up trend has no overtake the downtrend and the dollar should head higher.  But trendlines need to be taken with a grain of salt since there can so many variaitons.   That is why we need to look at resistance and supports levels as well and the dollar is near a key resistance level and very close to breaking it.

DX at Resistance Levels:  The last rally for DX head it get to 80.26 on a swing high but the bulk to that rally was contained below 80.07.  Now DX is right at this level which coincides with the long-term trend line. A break above 80.07 would be bullish for the dollar and bearish for the market.