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« Case of the Mondays Review of Monday's Decline | Main | A fall well below support »
Monday
Nov212011

Oversold with Warning

Since last Wednesday the market has sold off each day sending the market through support levels and killing bulls in its path.  Today the market dropped almost 2% closing below 120.00 and below 1200 on the S&P.  But the bulls may get some relief soon.  The Piker Indicator has flashed a deep oversold sign posting a 17.66 a normal oversold is below 28. The white candle represents the oversold condition But since we are in a downtrend recognized  by the 70 ema cross the 230, oversold can be much lower.  Last time SPY was under these condition was 2008, below is a screen shot of SPY when the Piker Indicator was under 18. In late 2008 SPY continued to dip as did the Piker Indicator so this level isn't a sure bouncing spot.

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