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Entries in NYSI (7)

Thursday
Jun242010

NYSI

A cross above or below zero is considered bullish with this indicator.  Right now NYSI is below zero and crossed below it around a month ago and the market has declined since.  Now NYSI is having trouble getting above the zero line, which would be bullish.  Below is a chart of the NYSI and it's zero crosses.Keep an eye on this indicator.

Tuesday
Mar232010

Internals

NYSI: Notice the pattern? First NYSI is hitting resistance at 1280 and the bb width has extended it's self.  When the moving average crosses the market has corrected it's self within a few days.

A couple of post ago I mentioned the divergence and said it was weak.  Now the divergence is strong since there has been a disconnect for the last couple of days.  NYMO almost crossed zero on Friday, which would have been a sell but yesterday it bounced to stay above it.  If the market is weak the next few days NYMO has a strong chance of crossing zero.

 

Friday
Mar052010

Jobless Charts

SPX Daily Chart: Will be watching the 1131 level as resistance.

SPX Weekly:  Watching the down trendline since the start of this bear market

NYSI: This oscillator is nearing a turning point, just have to wait for the stars to align.   See the green line for the last time the stars aligned

 I am starting to think this market tops around 1135

Thursday
Feb112010

NYSI nearing a danger zone

NYSI broke its support level around 356 a few days ago when the market was dropping.  Now NYSI has dropped below 200 and is hearing alarms by the bulls saying "Warning Warning Pull Up Pull Up".  NYSI currently is parked at 150 very close to the zero line.  A cross of this would be bearish for the market. Crosses of the zero line produce by and sell signals since this is a neutral line and moves above or below signal a change in the market.  But when it crosses the zero line downwards it is bearish.   "Tom McCleallan says that when the Mclellan summation Index drops below the zero line, it is a precursor for a bear market."(Market Breadth Indicators, Murphy). 

NYSI should be one of your favorite indicators to look at

"The McClellan Summation index generally oscillates between 0 and 2000 although it can move outside of this range during extreme or unusual market conditions. Historically, major market bottoms occur after the index falls below -1000. Readings above +1600 often indicate a major top is near. Top and bottom signals carry more significance if the index is also diverging from the associated market average. According to the McClellans, the beginning of a new bull market is signaled if the NYSE-based Summation index first moves below the -1200 level and then quickly rises above +2500." (STOCKCHARTS.COM)

Now take a look at the chart below, look where 1600+ is?  Now look at the divergence as SPX made its new high, NYSI didn't.  So 1600+ could have marked the top correctly.  Let's see if  a break of zero happens giving a signal a bear market might be near.

Monday
Feb082010

Who dat charts

SPX:SPX Hourly: Oversold on this time frame but still in a strong downtrendNYAD- still looks bearish, the 8 ema now looks like it will cross the 39.  NYAD was still red on Friday and did not reverse with the market. 

NYSI- Broke its prior support at this level, may trend down more.  NYSI is getting closer to zero which would be very bearish for market.  Notice how accurate the BB% moving average cross indication has been.  The green line shows the last signal it gave which was prior to this drop.